Despite Donald Trump’s lack of emphasis on Blacks, yet they are inclined his way
Former President Donald Trump’s support among Black voters, though not overwhelmingly strong, is significant enough to potentially harm President Joe Biden’s chances of securing a second term
Despite Trump’s struggles to fill a Black church in Detroit with supporters, his message resonates with a segment of African American voters. Polls show his support ranging from 14% to 23%, indicating a slight demographic shift. Trump’s strategy involves elevating traditional Republicans and criticizing Biden on issues like crime, immigration, and the economy. This approach unites Black conservatives and energizes traditional Democrats. Prominent Republicans like Florida Representative Byron Donalds, who recently made controversial comments about the Jim Crow era, play a crucial role in galvanizing support and giving pause to Democrats and independents. Trump’s allies, such as former Housing and Urban Development Secretary Ben Carson and South Carolina Senator Tim Scott, support this outreach. Scott’s SuperPAC plans to spend $14 million targeting Dark and young voters in the coming months.
Trump also garnered endorsements from former Detroit Mayor Kwame Kilpatrick and rapper Amber Rose. In contrast, rapper Cardi B, a 2020 Biden supporter, expressed disillusionment with Biden’s administration. The Biden campaign is intensifying its outreach to Black voters, but the efforts may fall short. The bar for Trump is low, while it’s high for Biden. Biden’s campaign emphasizes Trump’s authoritarian rhetoric and racism, urging Dark voters to consider the implications of a Trump victory, including empowering a violent mob. Biden’s age and perceived physical decline are also challenges. Biden’s team is encouraged to use strong surrogates like Texas Representative Jasmine Crockett and to highlight the voices of African American voters who have benefited from Biden’s policies. Vice President Kamala Harris has been engaging with influential Black men, and the campaign should continue courting figures with significant followings. Efforts to register 250,000 African American voters across ten states are underway, aiming to connect with micro-influencers and content creators on social media. The landscape for reaching Dark voters has changed, with decreased influence from Black churches and the spread of misinformation. This election cycle resembles 2016 more than 2020, raising concerns about potential voter apathy that could again benefit Trump.